ICC Cricket World Cup 2023 – England, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Netherlands scrap for Champions Trophy spots
As we strategy the previous couple of video games of the league stage of the 2023 ODI World Cup, the first focus is clearly on the highest 4 slots. However that is for the highest six groups. For the remaining, the race is on to complete among the many prime eight and qualify for the 2025 Champions Trophy. Six groups – these with eight or extra factors – have already secured their locations. That features Pakistan, who would have made the minimize as hosts anyway. Here’s a take a look at the place the opposite 4 stand.
Netherlands
Performed 7; Factors 4; NRR -1.398
Remaining matches: vs England and India
If Netherlands win their final two video games and end on eight, they’ll guarantee qualification. In the event that they beat England and lose to India, they’ll end on six, which Sri Lanka and Bangladesh can equal in the event that they win their solely remaining video games. It would then come right down to internet run-rates, a side that won’t favour Netherlands. Their NRR is at the moment -1.398; even when they beat England by 100 runs (after scoring 300), they’ll solely enhance to -0.955. The margins of the opposite outcomes will then decide which two groups undergo.
If Netherlands lose each their remaining video games, they’ll wrestle to qualify. Even when the three different groups lose their remaining video games and keep on 4 factors, it is likely to be powerful for Netherlands to complete with the next NRR than two of these groups. It would all come right down to the consequence margins then.
England
Performed 7; Factors 2; NRR -1.504
Remaining matches: vs Netherlands and Pakistan
The defending champions have had a horror marketing campaign, however with Champions Trophy qualification on the road, there may be nonetheless one thing to play for. However even when they win their final two matches, they’ll want some assist from different groups, as Sri Lanka and Bangladesh might additionally be part of them on six factors in the event that they win their final video games. England’s NRR is at the moment abysmal (-1.504), so they won’t solely want wins, however wins by vital margins.
If England lose to Netherlands, then they must beat Pakistan and hope that Sri Lanka and Bangladesh lose their final video games and keep on 4 factors. Then it would come right down to NRR amongst England, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh for one spot.
Sri Lanka
Performed 8; Factors 4; NRR -1.160
Remaining match: vs New Zealand
Sri Lanka’s finest wager is to beat New Zealand, after which hope that, at most, just one different staff joins them on six. (Theoretically, all 4 groups can end on six, if England win their final two, Bangladesh beat Australia, and Netherlands beat India.) Given their comparatively wholesome NRR, a win ought to put Sri Lanka in a fairly sturdy place.
In the event that they lose to New Zealand, then it would imply hoping that different outcomes go their method, and that two different groups do not go on to 6 factors.
Bangladesh
Performed 8; Factors 4; NRR -1.142
Remaining match: vs Australia
Bangladesh are in an analogous place to Sri Lanka, however their NRR is at the moment the very best among the many 4 groups who’re preventing for the final two slots. Like Sri Lanka, their finest wager will even be to beat Australia and finish on six factors. In the event that they end on 4, they will not be out of it, however loads of different outcomes must go their method.
S Rajesh is stats editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats
